The factors that favor the president include there being "no primary contest for the White House party," Trump being the incumbent and there being no significant third-party challenger. Lichtman also cited major policy changes such as Trump’s 2017 tax cut, the White House having no major foreign or military failures, and Biden not being "inspirational or charismatic." … [Read more...] about Professor with history of correctly predicting elections forecasts that Biden will defeat Trump
Why is presidential election in november
There doesn’t appear at the moment to be a definitive sign that in-person voting on the day of Wisconsin’s April 7 contest became the kind of cataclysmic super-spreading event that would have been a nightmare scenario for many in the state. But in the months since, as primaries have wavered between the messy June 9 contest in Georgia and those running more smoothly like Kentucky’s June 23 primary election, the tension between public health and voting remains a complex one where clarity on the true health impact of heading to the polls in person on a given election day can remain in question. … [Read more...] about Is In-Person Voting Really Unsafe?
“I had counseled dozens of candidates from the presidential level down to the state legislature. Not one did a better job of communicating the visceral horror of abortion,” Dannenfelser, who has spent decades in the movement, wrote of Trump. “Mitt Romney, John McCain, George W. Bush, even Ronald Reagan had been given on a national stage many opportunities to authentically witness to the depravity and extremism of abortion; all had shied away.” … [Read more...] about Pro-life movement leans into 2020 election to boost Trump, claiming issue ‘has gone from liability to asset’
According to a new CNN poll, "With 42% of Americans calling race relations extremely important to their vote for president this fall, the issue now stands on par with the economy and health care near the top of campaign issues," writes CNN polling director Jenn Agiesta (emphasis mine). … [Read more...] about Race relations are now front-of-mind for 2020 voters
There is likely more risk than reward waiting for Biden as he weighs whether to pick a woman of color to serve as his running mate. Such a decision would be historic. But it's far from certain that a Black female vice presidential nominee would on its own produce the kind of strong African American turnout Democrats need to defeat Trump. … [Read more...] about 2020 Watch: How will Joe Biden handle the spotlight?