There is also a weird dynamic at play with younger voters that might be hurting her, especially after tonight: Many left-leaning millennials seem to think Clinton’s already wrapped up the presidency, and are planning not to vote, or to cast a ballot for Gary Johnson or Jill Stein. Media gabbing about Clinton’s big win at Hofstra won’t exactly galvanize such voters to make a stand for HRC. … [Read more...] about Hillary Clinton Won the First Debate. What If That Doesn’t Move the Polls?
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ABC's "The View" co-host Joy BeharJosephine (Joy) Victoria BeharJoy Behar calls for a 'change' in the Electoral College John Bolton says he has no 'fear' of testifying under oath about Trump Joy Behar walks back remark calling Trump a 'domestic terrorist' on 'The View' MORE on Tuesday said that the Electoral College should be changed "as soon as possible" amid her fear that President TrumpDonald John TrumpTrump-backed candidate wins NH GOP Senate primary to take on Shaheen Trump, supporters gather without masks in NC despite request from local GOP official Trump-backed candidate wins NH GOP primary to take on Pappas MORE "could pull off" a victory over Democratic nominee Joe BidenJoe BidenTrump, supporters gather without masks in NC despite request from local GOP official Democrats fear 2016 repeat despite Biden's lead in polls Trump: Harris would be an 'insult' as first female president MORE. … [Read more...] about Joy Behar calls for a ‘change’ in the Electoral College
With such a large pool of ambivalent or unenthusiastic voters, gauging turnout will be particularly problematic. Many are suggesting an unusually or historically low turnout, but my own theory is that we are more likely to have an average to high level of voter participation. The intensity of the hatred for one or the other is so high among so many that the option of refraining from voting at all seems abhorrent to many of these voters. Some can’t see themselves sleeping at night if Trump were to win and they hadn’t voted against him; others feel the same way about Clinton. Given that election officials do not separate the ballots of those voting against someone from those voting for someone, a vote is a vote, no matter the motive. Cook also notes that a strong interest in the election is evident, even if “enthusiasm” for the candidates is low: … [Read more...] about Can Fear and Hate Turn Out the Vote As Much As Enthusiasm?
And early-voting totals suggest that this flaw in public polling could prove more relevant this year than ever before. Earlier this year, news of a spike in Hispanic voter registration bubbled up into the headlines. The early returns from swing states seem to validate those reports. Per the Washington Post: … [Read more...] about Latino Turnout Surges in Early Voting
Cracks in Wisconsin’s vote-by-mail operation are now emerging after the state’s scramble to expand that effort on the fly for voters who feared going to the polls in Tuesday’s elections. The takeaways — that the election network and the Postal Service were pushed to the brink of their capabilities, and that mistakes were clearly made — are instructive for other states if they choose to broaden vote-by-mail methods without sufficient time, money and planning. … [Read more...] about Wisconsin Ballot-Access Legal Battle Could Screw Up Voting by Mail