According to Lichtman’s system, seven factors favor the former vice president, including Democrats making gains in the 2018 midterm elections, short- and long-term economic hits amid the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, and “social unrest” sparked by the police killing of George Floyd earlier this year. … [Read more...] about Professor with history of correctly predicting elections forecasts that Biden will defeat Trump
November 6 election candidates
A confluence of factors has led to what SBA List President Marjorie Dannenfelser, who also chairs the campaign’s “Pro-Life Voices for Trump,” sees as the most consequential election in her lifetime. That’s probably why Planned Parenthood (PPFA), the nation’s largest abortion provider, has committed $45 million for its largest electoral effort to date. It recently announced seven-figure efforts for Pennsylvania and Maine, where Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, is weathering criticism over her support for Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. … [Read more...] about Pro-life movement leans into 2020 election to boost Trump, claiming issue ‘has gone from liability to asset’
There is likely more risk than reward waiting for Biden as he weighs whether to pick a woman of color to serve as his running mate. Such a decision would be historic. But it's far from certain that a Black female vice presidential nominee would on its own produce the kind of strong African American turnout Democrats need to defeat Trump. … [Read more...] about 2020 Watch: How will Joe Biden handle the spotlight?
The Biden-Ukraine issue is a politically freighted one, particularly after President Donald Trump urged his Ukraine counterpart in a July 2019 phone call to investigate Biden and his son Hunter, who was a paid board member of a Ukraine gas company called Burisma Holdings. That phone call formed the basis of Trump's impeachment by the House in December. He was acquitted by the Senate in February. … [Read more...] about GOP senator subpoenas FBI over Russia, defends Biden probe
One of the clearest examples of how fear and loyalty have infected the response came in Trump's decision last month to begin formally withdrawing the United States from the World Health Organization. Many government officials hoped the president would not take this drastic step, but none had the courage to try forcefully to persuade him against a withdrawal by explaining that doing so would risk damaging not only the global response to the virus but also the U.S. response. … [Read more...] about A lost summer: How Trump fell short in confronting the virus