Sen. Kamala Harris will travel to Iowa this month, increasing the buzz around her possible run for president in 2020. The California Democrat is scheduled to spend Oct. 22 and 23 in the state, whose caucuses are set to be the first-in-the-nation votes during the next presidential cycle. Traveling to early voting states allows presidential hopefuls to make connections with local party leaders, donors and activists and lay the groundwork for any future campaign. “We are all very excited,” Sean Bagniewski, chairman of the Polk County Democrats, said of Harris’ trip, which will take place two weeks before the Nov. 6 midterm elections. Harris is scheduled to speak to Democratic activists and early voters in downtown Des Moines the night of Oct. 22 at an event put on by the local organization, Bagniewski said. She will be introduced onstage by Deidre DeJear, a candidate for Iowa secretary of state whom Harris has endorsed. DeJear is the first black candidate in Iowa to run … [Read more...] about Kamala Harris 2020? The California senator is heading to Iowa
The plethora of political polls these days means most are discounted. An exception: Ann Selzer's renowned Iowa poll; last weekend much of the American political community awaited the results.South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete ButtigiegPeter (Pete) Paul Buttigieg2020 Dems slam Trump decision on West Bank settlements Overnight Health Care: GOP senator says drug price action unlikely this year | House panel weighs ban on flavored e-cigs | New York sues Juul Buttigieg surges to 10-point lead in New Hampshire: poll MORE surging into a formidable lead among Iowa Democrats in the poll is dominating chatter among the political class and may change the dynamics of the contest. More important: Selzer showed how wide open the Democratic contest is and exposed the widely held myth these voters are veering sharply left.“Most important to these voters is the winner of the Iowa caucuses has the best chance to beat Donald TrumpDonald John TrumpDem senator says Zelensky was 'feeling the pressure' to … [Read more...] about ‘Iowa Pete’ poll exposes myth that Democrats are veering left
Tom Steyer’s money is always going to be controversial among Democrats. Photo: MARK MAKELA/Getty Images Expecting presidential candidates (potential or actual) to help local party organizations and state-level candidates has always been part of the game in Iowa. It’s an important part of how said presidential candidates pay their dues and show their respect to the First-in-the-Nation Caucuses and express their commitment to maintaining Iowa’s special status until the end of time. Sometimes would-be candidates swoop into midterm contests before running for president with fundraising and staff help for lucky Iowa aspirants for the legislature or the county commission. And it’s no accident that the state parties and some county parties in Iowa have the best tools of the trade money can buy — because of all that outside help. This conduct, however, as reported by the Associated Press, is not how the game is played: A top aide to Democratic presidential … [Read more...] about Report: Steyer Aide Offered Local Iowa Politicians Money in Exchange for Endorsements
For Minnesota neighbor Amy Klobuchar, it’s definitely Iowa or bust. Photo: Sean Rayford/Getty Images With a fourth Democratic candidates’ debate in the books, and many observers becoming impatient about some of the remaining 19 White House aspirants dropping out, guessing games will ensue about who will drop out next. At least one candidate, Julián Castro, has invited that sort of scrutiny with a fundraising appeal linked to a threat to quit: This sort of gambit worked for Cory Booker in September, so maybe Castro can get his loyalists to cough up some more dough in time to make the next stage. But soon some candidates who haven’t been doing well may calculate that they might as well stick around until voters start voting, at which point denying the obvious will become vastly more difficult. Later this week we’ll hit the 100-day milepost before the February 3 Iowa caucuses. So instead of trying to figure out who ought to quit earlier than that — … [Read more...] about How Many Candidates Can Survive a Bad Showing in Iowa?
Ready for the long haul? Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images Joe Biden has already sustained a lot of damage to his candidacy – and he’s still trucking along. But what if he actually starts losing in early states? I spoke with Intelligencer writers Ed Kilgore and Eric Levitz about whether his “electability” argument would go out the window, or whether he has a strong enough base to support him during truly tough times. Ben: With a million predictions of his demise not having come to pass, Joe Biden is still doing very well in national and state polls at this late date, with a couple of very important exceptions. He has struggled of late in Iowa, where multiple recent polls have him in fourth place, behind Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and Pete Buttigieg (not respectively in all polls). And he has recently trailed Warren in New Hampshire. These two states are, of course, the first two to vote in the primary calendar. They’re also heavily white, … [Read more...] about Could Biden Lose Iowa and New Hampshire — and Still Win the Primary?